Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 2.014282 2.319076 2.648442 3.030065 3.459284 3.926320 4.472159
2024-10-06 1.626113 2.068072 2.587371 3.239021 4.031009 4.958237 6.121514
2024-10-13 1.315236 1.828373 2.477584 3.350499 4.483516 5.893360 7.767734
2024-10-20 1.050924 1.585207 2.308066 3.341691 4.762827 6.626509 9.229348
2024-10-27 0.881725 1.431194 2.220272 3.411006 5.131446 7.490580 10.924458
2024-11-03 0.748921 1.301084 2.138610 3.465532 5.469557 8.327801 12.640976
2024-11-10 0.633678 1.174497 2.038282 3.470353 5.723173 9.053424 14.245078
2024-11-17 0.531889 1.049840 1.919272 3.424303 5.884425 9.644420 15.684737
2024-11-24 0.443431 0.931071 1.790243 3.340643 5.969166 10.114912 16.964791
2024-12-01 0.385447 0.856769 1.724752 3.350994 6.199611 10.819549 18.644131
2024-12-08 0.332392 0.781821 1.646323 3.326396 6.363519 11.422449 20.194513
2024-12-15 0.300143 0.742866 1.628269 3.405604 6.708644 12.339968 22.305531
2024-12-22 0.266996 0.698082 1.596802 3.463762 7.035520 13.274341 24.550475
2024-12-29 0.249924 0.686419 1.630733 3.652643 7.620370 14.698427 27.727090
2025-01-05 0.226682 0.655913 1.621358 3.754700 8.052541 15.887329 30.580605
2025-01-12 0.196943 0.603230 1.556366 3.734895 8.248137 16.666011 32.765521
2025-01-19 0.177618 0.573005 1.536557 3.806585 8.627657 17.803233 35.656967
2025-01-26 0.159774 0.542809 1.512078 3.864405 8.982577 18.916038 38.568133
2025-02-02 0.141165 0.506142 1.466351 3.868675 9.225799 19.830705 41.164749
2025-02-09 0.122281 0.464010 1.400276 3.817524 9.345705 20.512221 43.360421
2025-02-16 0.104245 0.419743 1.321265 3.725235 9.366353 20.996308 45.203446
2025-02-23 0.092801 0.393934 1.286950 3.736528 9.614637 21.949103 48.003290
2025-03-02 0.081413 0.365201 1.239761 3.709407 9.772413 22.724933 50.494630